Based on research conducted for them by Forrester Research, Convio estimates that online giving to nonprofits in the US will top $4 billion this holiday season (Nov 1-Dec 31 — up from $3.1 billion in 2008).

The Convio study is full of other tidbits on how donors are using internet-based tools and resources to assist their giving.

Some items that caught my attention (all figures are US) …

  • More than 63% of online consumers (111 million people) plan to use the Internet to donate to charities of their choice during the upcoming holiday season, up from 51% in 2008.
  • Nearly 6 out of 10 people surveyed plan to give the same amount or more, while the current state of the economy will lead 23% to give less to charity this holiday season. A full 20% are still undecided about the size of their gifts.
  • For nearly 25% of the respondents, what family and friends say on social media and in personal emails influences the charities they support;
  • In addition to their online giving, today’s online consumer gives through a multitude of channels as 61 percent report mailing a check (most, after checking the website), 38 percent gave at an event, 17 percent used the Internet to sponsor a friend or family member in a run, walk or ride, while 16 percent responded to a phone call — all in addition to their personal online giving.

I was also struck by the finding that while 65% of the survey respondents have delayed spending on non-essential consumer products this season, their support for charities remains high.

This is a little more bullish than other data I’ve seen re consumer online spending. For example, here from CommScore is data indicating online consumer spending is up only 4% over the same holiday period last year (i.e., from Nov 1 to early Dec).

It just seems a bit unlikely that the dollar amount of online giving would grow at a substantially faster pace than total consumer online spending. When those who actually give the same amount or less are balanced against those who give more, we might see the same dollar volume of online giving in 2009 as last year, even assuming the number of online donors increases. We shall see!

In any event, taking the dollar projections as you wish, the Convio study is a valuable resource because it looks at donors’ online proclivities in some depth. Take a look!

Tom